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Software for demographic projection

Example of utilizing the software for demographic projection for development of various scenarios of future population dynamics in Georgia:

Projection of population size in Georgia

Population size by the beginning of period for scenarios: high (blue), medium (red), low (green).

This graph displays the results of population projections for three scenarios called "high", "medium", and "low". Main difference in population scenarios for Georgia in the nearest future used in the model calculations of software for population projection is in the values of total fertility rate. TFR is equal to 1 in the low scenario, 1.39 in medium, and 1.78 in the "high" one.
The example shows that Georgia will depopulate in the first half of the 21 century. The population size will be between 2.7 and 3.9 million. According to the medium scenario the annual natural decrease may approach 40 thousand.

The information-analytical system is developed under the support of the Russian foundation for humanitarian research,
project 04-02-12003-в "Development of information system of social-demographic data with the Internet access".

Version of page georgia.php - 1.0. Last updated 15.02.2006.