№ 1013-1014

Demographic Barometer

• US population: Could it shrink?
  • According to the Census Bureau’s 2023 forecast, the US population may begin to decline in 2080, and in the absence of immigration - in the next few years
  • According to UN projections, the US population will begin to decline in 2037 if “zero migration” forecast comes true, and in 2041 if “low fertility” forecast comes true
  • Total fertility in the United States fell to 1.64 in 2020 and, according to UN forecasts, by mid-century has a 95% probability of being between 1.17 and 2.18
  • Life expectancy at birth increased in the USA to 78.8 years, but during two years of the pandemic it decreased to 76.1 years; according to UN forecasts, the upward trend in life expectancy will resume and by the middle of the century will rise to 84 years

Q&A

• Year of the Family
• Abortion ban: Russian attitudes
• How many Russians adhere to a healthy lifestyle?
• Social elevators in Russia: Going up?
• Interethnic relations

In the vastness of Russia

• Natural population decrease in Russia from January to October fell by 21.3%
• The population of Chechnya has increased by 100 thousand people in five years
• Putin expects the demographic situation in Russia to improve in three years
• 88% of Russian women of reproductive age would like to have children
• Matkapital will begin to be paid only to children with Russian citizenship by birth
• Payments for child care up to 1.5 years will remain in case of early termination of maternity leave
• Russian pensioners won’t be charged commissions when paying for housing and communal services
• The number of self-employed people in Russia will grow to 10 million
• Increasing allowances under the Zemsky Doctor program will not solve the problem of shortage of personnel in rural areas
• Requirements for Russian citizenship simplified for residents of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Moldova
• Palestinian refugees in Dagestan will be issued Russian passports
• Working group on migration issues has been formed in the State Duma
• According to Putin, there are over 10 million labor migrants in Russia
• In some cases, the expulsion of foreigners may be replaced by a fine
• Migrants deprived of citizenship for the first time for evading military service
• Russia plans to reduce alcohol consumption to 7.8 liters per person
• Bill banning abortions in private clinics introduced to State Duma
• Russian Orthodox Church supports bill banning abortions in private clinics
• Putin calls for not repeating the experience of anti-alcohol bans in solving the problem of abortion
• Governor of Kursk region urges not to ban abortions
• Head of Human Rights Council doubts that banning abortions in private clinics will increase birth rate
• Will encouraging health workers to talk women out of abortion lead to falsification of statistics?
• Russian Federation may shorten period during which pregnancy can be terminated
• Cancer drugs will begin to be supplied from China
• Ministry of Health registers updated Sputnik Light
• A third of men and a quarter of women in Russia will celebrate the New Year alone

World News

• Elon Musk predicts the disappearance of entire nations and all humanity due to demographic problems
• More than half of all new industrial robots are installed in China
• Due to refusals of residence permits, 53 thousand Russians left Turkey in 2023
• Latvia intends to expel more than one thousand Russian citizens who have not submitted documents for a residence permit
• Finland will again close all checkpoints on border with Russia
• Georgia and Germany sign agreement to combat illegal migration
• Greek Parliament legalizes 30 thousand illegal migrants
• Italian Prime Minister calls “Islamization” of Europe a problem
• The West needs new rules to combat illegal migration
• Most French people surveyed oppose accepting new migrants
• More than 50 Syrians rescued from a sunken ship off the coast of Lebanon
• More than 12 thousand people killed in Sudan in eight months
• WHO advocates tightening controls over the sale of e-cigarettes
• New JN.1 coronavirus could become world's leading strain in a few weeks
• Incidence of COVID in the world has increased by more than 50%
• In 2023, more than 610 thousand cases of cholera were recorded
• An increase in the number of infections resistant to antibiotics has been recorded in Ukraine
• In 20% of people different organs age at different rates
• It is better for older people to work less than 35 hours a week
• In Britain, children under 16 may be prohibited from using social networks

The newspapers write about…

• Rossiyskaya Gazeta on an increase in life expectancy
• RBK on an increase in desired life expectancy
• Novye Izvestia and Kommersant on abortion ban and its consequences
• NEWS.ru and Novye Izvestia on childlessness tax
• RBK on State Duma's refusal to support abortion ban in private clinics
• RBK on anti-abortion campaign
• Novye Izvestia on the dynamics of living standards in the past year
• RBK on regions where wages are rising
• RBK on new rules for issuing maternity capital
• Kommersant on the shortage of personnel in the labor market
• Kommersant on integrating self-employed people into the labor market
• NEWS.ru on attracting labor migrants
• RBK on refugees living in temporary accommodation centers
• Kommersant Istoriya on the history of repatriation in Soviet times
• Izvestia on the inadmissibility of concluding employment contracts with those who have left country
• Kommersant on assessing Russia’s healthcare system performance
• Kommersant on the causes of addiction to alcohol and drugs
• Novye Izvestia on new anti-alcohol concept
• Novye Izvestia on cancer incidence
• Esli byt’ tochnym on the features of statistical data for the North Caucasus
• Izvestia on restrictions on children's names
• Novye Izvestia on the growing popularity of online dating

Read books and magazines

• A focus on adolescent mental health and well-being In Europe, Central Asia and Canada
• Migration from Russia to Kyrgyzstan: demographic and sociological aspects
• Ethnodemographic processes in Kazakhstan and adjacent territories
• Marriage and family. Results of the 2021 National Population Census in the Republic of Kazakhstan
• World Malaria Report 2023
• Through the pages of the magazines Narodonaseleniye (Population) and Uroven zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii (Standard of Living of the Population of Russian Regions)
• Contents of the journal Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health

Profession: researcher

• International conference "Functional forecasts and demographic estimates for Russia and the CIS countries"